Race 6A

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Madison Gates 12.8% 12.3% 11.9% 12.4% 13.0% 10.2% 8.7% 7.9% 4.5% 3.6% 2.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 12.1% 14.1% 11.8% 11.9% 13.1% 8.5% 9.2% 8.9% 4.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 12.3% 10.9% 12.2% 11.1% 10.5% 11.6% 9.4% 8.6% 7.7% 3.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Martin Hood 4.7% 5.6% 6.6% 7.5% 8.1% 8.8% 9.4% 10.5% 12.1% 11.1% 11.9% 3.7% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 8.7% 9.6% 11.5% 10.5% 9.5% 9.8% 10.7% 9.7% 7.1% 6.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 6.8% 7.1% 7.2% 7.6% 7.0% 9.3% 11.0% 10.4% 12.2% 10.6% 8.2% 2.6% 0.0%
Geoffrey Nelson 23.7% 19.6% 15.9% 11.2% 9.0% 7.9% 6.0% 4.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 5.2% 6.1% 6.2% 6.8% 8.4% 7.3% 8.5% 10.8% 11.0% 13.7% 10.1% 5.9% 0.0%
Allison Price 4.8% 4.9% 6.4% 8.1% 8.4% 9.4% 10.3% 10.5% 11.0% 11.8% 10.4% 4.0% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.5% 5.6% 6.4% 7.2% 7.0% 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 12.9% 14.0% 10.0% 5.1% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 12.3% 10.9% 12.2% 11.1% 10.5% 11.6% 9.4% 8.6% 7.7% 3.1% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 4.5% 4.4% 5.7% 6.1% 7.5% 11.4% 13.1% 23.1% 16.2% 0.0%
Thomas Monson 0.7% 1.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 1.9% 2.1% 4.0% 7.8% 14.4% 60.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.