← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.10+5.36vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.84+5.39vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.91+4.16vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.55+1.13vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.64+2.95vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.25+3.75vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.47-1.72vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy1.62+3.49vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.51-3.70vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire1.65+1.59vs Predicted
-
11McGill University1.05+2.33vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.02-5.22vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.26vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University1.67-2.34vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College2.65-6.91vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.12-5.88vs Predicted
-
17Bates College-0.21-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.36Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
-
7.39Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
-
7.16Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
5.13Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
-
7.95University of Rhode Island2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.75Connecticut College2.250.0%1st Place
-
5.28Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
-
11.49Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
5.3University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.59University of New Hampshire1.650.0%1st Place
-
13.33McGill University1.050.0%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
9.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
11.66Harvard University1.670.0%1st Place
-
8.09Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
10.12Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
-
15.87Bates College-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa Warner | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Meleny | 7.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lyle Fielding | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Sweriduk | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 4.8% |
| Jordan Factor | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Edwards | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Emerson Krock | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 25.8% | 15.1% |
| Jessica Claflin | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Richard Graef | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Nick Waldo | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Lovering | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.