Race 7A

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Geoffrey Nelson 21.4% 18.1% 16.2% 13.7% 11.1% 7.1% 4.5% 3.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Madison Gates 12.2% 14.4% 11.8% 13.5% 10.3% 9.1% 8.7% 9.5% 5.4% 2.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 14.7% 10.8% 13.6% 10.6% 12.5% 10.5% 8.9% 8.5% 5.3% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Anna Huebschmann 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 8.1% 8.9% 10.4% 10.1% 9.6% 11.8% 9.8% 8.8% 2.8% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 10.8% 9.7% 10.8% 9.7% 6.5% 7.6% 4.6% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 5.1% 5.7% 6.1% 6.3% 5.8% 7.9% 9.4% 13.0% 9.7% 13.7% 11.7% 5.6% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.4% 6.3% 5.9% 6.8% 8.9% 7.9% 7.7% 9.8% 11.6% 14.1% 10.3% 5.3% 0.0%
Martin Hood 6.4% 5.9% 7.3% 6.9% 7.1% 9.1% 9.8% 8.7% 12.7% 12.3% 8.9% 4.9% 0.0%
Allison Price 5.2% 4.8% 6.2% 8.1% 7.4% 9.4% 10.4% 10.6% 11.8% 12.2% 10.3% 3.6% 0.0%
Peter Hidley 9.3% 10.7% 9.2% 10.1% 11.3% 10.0% 11.5% 9.7% 7.7% 5.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 8.0% 10.0% 13.5% 23.7% 15.5% 0.0%
Curtis Woodworth 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 10.8% 9.7% 10.8% 9.7% 6.5% 7.6% 4.6% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Monson 0.7% 1.6% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.3% 3.8% 7.5% 14.4% 60.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.