Race 1B

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Schoene 24.0% 23.3% 20.7% 14.5% 8.6% 4.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 21.6% 21.8% 17.6% 16.0% 10.9% 5.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 10.2% 9.0% 11.4% 13.0% 15.4% 14.9% 12.2% 9.0% 4.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nelson Millett 1.4% 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 6.5% 10.6% 12.5% 16.2% 18.8% 18.7% 5.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Hernandez 11.6% 11.5% 13.6% 15.9% 15.1% 13.2% 8.1% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Palmer 4.1% 4.7% 7.5% 6.8% 10.4% 13.6% 16.4% 15.4% 12.7% 7.0% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Tino 2.6% 4.9% 4.2% 4.7% 7.5% 10.1% 14.1% 14.8% 17.1% 14.5% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 19.9% 17.3% 15.8% 14.8% 13.2% 10.2% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 5.3% 6.7% 9.2% 15.7% 16.6% 19.6% 16.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaney Caron 1.5% 1.4% 2.3% 4.4% 4.5% 5.9% 7.2% 14.2% 17.5% 29.8% 10.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 5.3% 6.7% 9.2% 15.7% 16.6% 19.6% 16.0% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Joshua Holden 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 3.0% 17.8% 75.4% 0.0%
Katie Dodge 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.9% 8.6% 57.6% 23.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.