Race 2B

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Laura Hernandez 11.1% 11.7% 12.4% 15.0% 14.9% 14.6% 11.5% 5.8% 2.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Schoene 24.8% 23.5% 19.2% 14.3% 9.3% 5.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 17.8% 15.0% 17.9% 15.3% 14.6% 9.1% 6.9% 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 22.2% 21.3% 18.3% 16.0% 9.4% 7.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nelson Millett 1.7% 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 7.0% 9.0% 11.8% 13.8% 20.1% 19.4% 5.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 9.4% 9.9% 10.9% 13.9% 15.0% 13.9% 13.3% 8.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Palmer 4.7% 6.0% 6.2% 6.8% 12.1% 13.6% 13.6% 17.4% 11.0% 6.6% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Tino 3.1% 3.9% 4.1% 5.6% 8.2% 10.0% 11.3% 16.3% 17.9% 15.2% 4.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Delaney Caron 1.6% 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 7.0% 9.8% 14.0% 18.7% 28.6% 9.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.8% 3.9% 3.6% 5.5% 5.1% 9.1% 13.8% 16.4% 19.6% 16.3% 3.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Katie Dodge 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 1.8% 1.9% 4.0% 9.0% 55.1% 25.1% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.8% 3.9% 3.6% 5.5% 5.1% 9.1% 13.8% 16.4% 19.6% 16.3% 3.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Joshua Holden 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.6% 19.3% 73.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.