Race 4B

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hana Zwick 8.6% 9.9% 10.8% 12.2% 17.4% 14.4% 12.9% 7.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Laura Hernandez 11.3% 11.8% 14.0% 16.0% 14.0% 14.3% 9.9% 5.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 16.9% 17.7% 17.4% 15.1% 11.5% 11.3% 6.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Schoene 26.5% 22.0% 18.3% 15.4% 10.0% 4.5% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 21.6% 21.9% 18.9% 13.9% 10.2% 7.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nelson Millett 2.5% 2.4% 3.5% 5.8% 6.1% 7.5% 12.4% 16.2% 20.4% 16.6% 6.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Katie Dodge 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.8% 1.0% 2.9% 2.0% 4.9% 10.1% 53.9% 22.5% 0.0%
Anna Palmer 4.9% 5.3% 6.6% 9.1% 9.8% 14.0% 14.6% 14.4% 12.8% 6.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Tino 2.3% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 8.7% 11.4% 13.9% 17.8% 16.5% 14.6% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.5% 3.9% 4.0% 4.5% 7.2% 8.6% 12.3% 17.3% 17.9% 17.2% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Delaney Caron 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.7% 5.7% 8.3% 13.1% 18.3% 29.6% 12.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.5% 3.9% 4.0% 4.5% 7.2% 8.6% 12.3% 17.3% 17.9% 17.2% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Joshua Holden 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 2.3% 17.9% 75.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.