Race 6B

saisa-sp-3

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brendan Feeney 23.3% 22.1% 20.4% 17.0% 9.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Schoene 29.6% 24.8% 18.1% 13.1% 7.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 11.2% 9.9% 15.2% 14.4% 15.1% 14.8% 10.8% 5.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 17.7% 22.1% 16.8% 17.2% 12.3% 7.8% 4.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Palmer 5.4% 4.1% 7.8% 10.4% 13.1% 13.5% 15.9% 11.5% 10.9% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Delaney Caron 1.5% 1.9% 3.0% 4.2% 4.9% 7.3% 9.7% 13.6% 17.3% 25.9% 10.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Nelson Millett 2.5% 4.2% 4.1% 5.4% 8.6% 10.2% 14.1% 15.8% 15.4% 14.9% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 2.3% 3.3% 5.1% 4.9% 7.9% 11.4% 11.5% 15.4% 17.0% 15.3% 5.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 7.1% 9.2% 12.1% 15.1% 15.5% 16.2% 11.9% 3.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Tino 3.1% 4.4% 5.2% 5.7% 9.8% 12.4% 13.0% 17.1% 13.9% 12.5% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 7.1% 9.2% 12.1% 15.1% 15.5% 16.2% 11.9% 3.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Katie Dodge 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.1% 0.8% 1.9% 2.4% 4.6% 9.3% 53.5% 24.5% 0.0%
Joshua Holden 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.7% 2.6% 19.0% 73.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.