Race 7B

saisa-sp-3

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hana Zwick 10.4% 11.1% 11.4% 16.4% 18.1% 13.2% 9.1% 5.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Feeney 24.5% 21.7% 22.1% 14.2% 8.9% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Schoene 28.6% 24.4% 18.4% 14.9% 8.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaney Caron 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 4.1% 4.5% 8.3% 12.8% 11.0% 17.0% 26.0% 10.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Samuel Armington 18.2% 19.6% 19.2% 15.8% 12.4% 6.8% 5.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anna Palmer 4.7% 6.3% 7.5% 9.1% 12.9% 14.0% 16.1% 13.3% 9.4% 5.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Tino 3.2% 4.5% 4.8% 7.5% 8.8% 11.8% 13.4% 16.1% 14.5% 12.1% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Geoffrey Calderone 2.7% 3.1% 4.2% 6.0% 8.9% 10.4% 12.6% 13.6% 16.8% 15.8% 5.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.4% 9.3% 12.8% 13.2% 16.9% 15.8% 12.5% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nelson Millett 2.7% 4.2% 4.6% 5.2% 6.6% 12.4% 12.8% 16.2% 16.0% 15.1% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Katie Dodge 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 3.1% 4.9% 8.4% 54.2% 24.3% 0.0%
Rafael Melendez 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 5.4% 9.3% 12.8% 13.2% 16.9% 15.8% 12.5% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Holden 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 3.5% 18.6% 73.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.