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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+4.22vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+2.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+1.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90-0.40vs Predicted
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7Wesleyan University1.45+2.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.76+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.72-0.85vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.72+1.71vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.33+1.67vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.45-5.86vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.74-1.50vs Predicted
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14Amherst College0.89-2.88vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.42-0.42vs Predicted
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16Sacred Heart University0.12-2.80vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.18-2.93vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.16-11.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.52Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.8Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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4.6Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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9.38Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.19Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Vermont1.720.1%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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12.67University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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6.14Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.5Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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11.12Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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14.58Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.2Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.07University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.94Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 15.4% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 5.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.7% |
| Eric Anderson | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 36.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 15.1% |
| Shane Baker | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 20.1% | 24.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.