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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+3.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+3.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.76+4.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97-0.37vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University1.45+3.11vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16+0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-2.77vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54-3.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.72-1.48vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.45-5.06vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.72-0.41vs Predicted
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13Amherst College0.89-1.97vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.33-1.27vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.42-0.41vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.74-4.53vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University0.12-3.70vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut-0.18-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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5.22Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
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9.11Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.12Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.59Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.03Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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12.73University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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14.59Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.47Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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13.3Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 16.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 15.5% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 18.6% | 36.2% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| Shane Baker | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.