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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+4.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.72+5.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+0.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76+3.11vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.16+1.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.69-1.65vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University1.45+1.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-5.15vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.45-5.06vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.72-0.39vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.74-1.46vs Predicted
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14Amherst College0.89-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.18-0.92vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.33-3.35vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.42-2.43vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.12-4.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
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8.11Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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7.13Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.13Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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4.85Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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11.61Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.54Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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11.12Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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14.08University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.65University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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14.57Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.26Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 14.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kanare | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 16.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| James Moody | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Shane Baker | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 20.2% | 25.4% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 10.5% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 19.0% | 34.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.