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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+4.08vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+3.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+3.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+1.41vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.74+6.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.97-2.35vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.72+3.52vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.72-0.79vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.45-0.59vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.90-6.30vs Predicted
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12Amherst College0.89-0.88vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-6.12vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.12-0.73vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.33-2.19vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.76-7.76vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.18-2.99vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University-0.42-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.41Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.34Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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4.65Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.52Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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9.41Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University2.900.2%1st Place
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11.12Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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6.88Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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13.27Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.81University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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8.24Brown University1.760.1%1st Place
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14.01University of Connecticut-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.62Fairfield University-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 13.3% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Mike Kanare | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| James Moody | 15.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Peter Christensen | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 15.5% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 11.6% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Shane Baker | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 24.4% |
| Ryan Carlucci | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 20.0% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.