← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.72+4.08vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.97+2.54vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.16+3.95vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.16+3.10vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.54+0.83vs Predicted
-
6Amherst College0.89+5.03vs Predicted
-
8Wesleyan University1.45+1.30vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.45-3.11vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire0.33+2.38vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.69-5.61vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut1.93-4.32vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.76-4.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.72-5.69vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University0.72-3.59vs Predicted
-
16Bates College0.74-4.48vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University-1.36-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.08University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
4.54Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
-
6.95Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
-
7.1Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
-
5.83Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
-
11.03Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
-
9.3Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
-
5.89Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
-
12.38University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
-
5.39Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
7.68University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
-
8.29Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
-
8.31University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
-
11.41Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.52Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
15.31Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 16.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Sommi | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 4.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Eric Anderson | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 18.7% | 26.3% | 8.6% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Mike Kanare | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 4.3% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 4.6% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.