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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+4.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+2.49vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.54+2.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+1.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.76+3.29vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.16+1.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.45-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.72+0.25vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut1.93-2.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.16-3.99vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.45-2.75vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.72-1.53vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.74-2.60vs Predicted
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15Amherst College0.89-4.08vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.33-3.43vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-1.36-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.49Roger Williams University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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5.42Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University1.760.0%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.25Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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11.47Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.4Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
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10.92Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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12.57University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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15.3Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Swanson | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Sommi | 6.5% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mike Kanare | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 5.5% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 4.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 2.7% |
| Judas Taylor | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 18.5% | 28.1% | 9.7% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 10.7% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.