Race 10A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kendal Richardson 16.3% 14.7% 15.3% 12.2% 10.6% 8.7% 5.9% 6.0% 3.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Samuel Cushing 13.7% 13.2% 10.7% 10.5% 9.8% 9.4% 8.1% 6.5% 6.4% 4.9% 3.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 2.3% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.8% 6.0% 5.5% 8.4% 10.3% 15.1% 15.1% 13.9% 2.7%
Franco Bilik 10.7% 12.7% 10.9% 10.3% 10.8% 8.3% 9.2% 7.6% 5.6% 6.1% 3.6% 2.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Swanson 4.4% 4.5% 5.5% 6.2% 5.3% 7.7% 7.9% 7.4% 9.0% 9.5% 8.4% 8.8% 8.0% 4.4% 2.2% 0.8%
Amanda Sommi 6.5% 6.3% 8.1% 9.1% 8.9% 7.8% 9.4% 8.1% 6.5% 8.5% 7.1% 6.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 10.2% 8.5% 8.7% 9.4% 10.1% 8.9% 8.1% 8.6% 7.3% 7.5% 5.3% 3.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Margaret Kilvert 11.7% 11.2% 9.7% 10.0% 8.5% 10.6% 8.4% 9.8% 6.2% 4.5% 3.7% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Pierce Conlin 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 2.6% 4.9% 5.7% 8.3% 9.1% 13.5% 17.8% 16.4% 4.8%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 3.8% 3.1% 4.3% 4.0% 4.5% 3.6% 5.4% 6.5% 9.0% 9.0% 10.9% 12.2% 9.2% 8.2% 5.3% 1.0%
Sarah Fuller 6.4% 5.6% 5.5% 7.7% 6.2% 5.7% 9.0% 9.1% 7.3% 9.5% 9.0% 8.1% 5.3% 3.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 3.0% 3.8% 6.9% 4.7% 7.6% 10.1% 11.3% 16.3% 18.3% 4.5%
Mike Kanare 3.4% 5.2% 6.8% 4.9% 5.7% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.8% 8.6% 8.3% 8.5% 7.2% 6.8% 2.3% 0.2%
Judas Taylor 1.1% 1.6% 0.6% 1.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 4.7% 6.6% 7.1% 11.4% 16.0% 27.6% 9.3%
Peter Christensen 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 6.8% 10.0% 8.9% 8.0% 8.8% 9.0% 7.5% 7.6% 6.5% 3.7% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Kelsey Laforest 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 3.0% 4.1% 10.8% 76.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.