Race 11A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alexandra Swanson 3.6% 6.3% 6.6% 6.1% 6.5% 7.3% 7.4% 6.9% 6.1% 10.9% 7.9% 9.5% 7.5% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Samuel Cushing 12.9% 12.9% 12.2% 11.4% 7.8% 9.6% 8.9% 6.4% 6.6% 3.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 10.2% 8.6% 10.0% 7.8% 10.0% 9.4% 11.0% 8.1% 6.7% 7.7% 4.3% 3.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Kendal Richardson 15.6% 15.6% 12.7% 11.0% 11.2% 7.8% 8.6% 6.6% 4.3% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 1.7% 3.2% 3.5% 4.1% 3.8% 5.2% 6.4% 8.5% 11.1% 13.0% 15.4% 14.8% 2.8%
Mike Kanare 3.7% 4.1% 5.3% 6.6% 6.8% 7.6% 6.8% 6.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 8.2% 9.7% 6.0% 3.2% 0.2%
Amanda Sommi 7.4% 7.7% 6.4% 8.5% 7.0% 8.8% 7.9% 8.7% 7.9% 7.9% 8.3% 6.8% 3.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Margaret Kilvert 10.5% 11.2% 9.8% 10.4% 10.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 8.5% 5.0% 4.2% 2.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 12.1% 12.1% 10.8% 12.3% 10.3% 9.8% 7.1% 7.0% 5.8% 5.5% 2.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Sarah Fuller 6.3% 4.9% 5.5% 5.5% 7.7% 7.4% 7.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.8% 8.8% 7.9% 6.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Peter Christensen 8.2% 6.5% 8.2% 7.4% 7.9% 7.5% 7.0% 9.2% 9.2% 7.4% 8.8% 5.3% 5.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Pierce Conlin 1.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 4.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.5% 8.9% 11.9% 16.1% 18.7% 5.0%
Connor Bair-Cucchiaro 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.0% 3.9% 4.2% 4.6% 5.1% 8.2% 10.1% 12.7% 17.6% 16.1% 4.7%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 4.2% 2.7% 3.7% 4.8% 4.7% 6.0% 6.3% 7.2% 8.1% 7.5% 9.5% 12.2% 10.0% 8.3% 4.3% 0.5%
Kelsey Laforest 0.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 2.3% 4.2% 10.2% 76.4%
Judas Taylor 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 4.7% 5.5% 7.5% 12.0% 17.0% 27.5% 9.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.