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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+4.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+3.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20-0.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79-0.39vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.25+1.99vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49-1.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.62+0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.19-4.20vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University-1.06+3.43vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.11-0.20vs Predicted
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12Amherst College-1.32+1.92vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.70-4.44vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.03-3.34vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.96-1.86vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-1.27-2.26vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.29-3.10vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University-0.77-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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2.89Brown University3.200.3%1st Place
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3.61Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.31Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.85Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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13.43Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
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10.8Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.92Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College0.700.0%1st Place
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10.66Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.74Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.9University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.66Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 26.2% | 24.0% | 19.6% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 19.5% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 13.5% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 13.4% |
| Julie Self | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
| John Sullivan | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Herlihy | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Justin Morano | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 20.4% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 20.3% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.