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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+4.39vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.83+3.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+3.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.15vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.51-1.67vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.67+0.21vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-0.49vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-1.18vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.93+0.21vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.54-3.16vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.60+1.96vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.80-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.35-2.00vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.79-8.06vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston4.61-11.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.89Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.81Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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5.33Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.21Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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14.96Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.74University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.07College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Magill | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 6.4% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 53.4% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 8.5% |
| Christina Baker | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 20.6% | 20.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.