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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+2.50vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+0.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.04-1.11vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6412.2%1st Place
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2.95Cornell University0.9317.7%1st Place
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2.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1338.6%1st Place
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2.89University of Pennsylvania1.0420.1%1st Place
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3.5SUNY Maritime College0.5011.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Marsh | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 22.3% | 33.5% |
| Boris Bialer | 17.7% | 22.1% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 15.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 38.6% | 27.7% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
| Ian Fox | 20.1% | 20.6% | 23.8% | 21.1% | 14.3% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 11.5% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 23.1% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.