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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+4.59vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.25+5.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+2.15vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79-0.37vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11+5.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.19-2.02vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.49-3.81vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.70-0.52vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.62-1.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-8.16vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.77+0.61vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.29+0.88vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.03-3.37vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-1.27-1.14vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-1.32-2.13vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.96-3.90vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University-1.06-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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7.12Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.63Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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10.7Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College0.700.0%1st Place
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8.99Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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2.84Brown University3.200.3%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.88University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
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10.63Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.86Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.87Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.37Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 19.1% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Self | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 13.9% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Sullivan | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Lewis | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 28.8% | 23.2% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 19.5% |
| William Herlihy | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 20.4% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 22.5% |
| Justin Morano | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.