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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+4.60vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+2.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20-0.14vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79-0.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.05+0.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University0.62+2.97vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.19-3.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.25-1.92vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-1.32+4.08vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut-0.96+1.99vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.70-3.34vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77-0.39vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.11-3.21vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.06-1.66vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.29-2.19vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.03-6.40vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-1.27-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.16Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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2.86Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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3.61Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.97Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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14.08Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College0.700.0%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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10.79Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.34Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
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13.81University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
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10.6Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.85Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 24.7% | 26.1% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 19.3% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Craig | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 22.7% |
| Justin Morano | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| John Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| Julie Self | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 21.7% |
| William Herlihy | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.