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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+4.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.79+1.53vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20-0.16vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+0.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University0.62+3.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.05-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.19-2.14vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.25-1.95vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.70-1.26vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-1.27+2.77vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.77+0.68vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-1.32+0.97vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.11-3.20vs Predicted
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15Sacred Heart University-0.03-4.37vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.06-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-0.96-3.89vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.29-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.53Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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2.84Brown University3.200.3%1st Place
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4.28Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.71Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University1.250.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College0.700.0%1st Place
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13.77Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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13.97Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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10.8Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.63Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.25Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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13.89University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 19.4% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 27.1% | 24.3% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 13.4% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Gates | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Craig | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Sullivan | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 23.9% |
| Julie Self | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| William Herlihy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 13.1% |
| Justin Morano | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.6% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.