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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+3.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+3.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20-0.13vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.25+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+0.56vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79-2.34vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.62+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.19-3.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.70-0.32vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.29+2.82vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-1.27+1.81vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.11-2.18vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University-0.03-3.37vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.06-1.63vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-0.96-2.98vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.77-4.38vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.32-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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2.87Brown University3.200.3%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.66Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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8.85Yale University0.620.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College0.700.0%1st Place
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13.82University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.81Wesleyan University-1.270.0%1st Place
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10.82Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.63Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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13.37Fairfield University-1.060.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Connecticut-0.960.0%1st Place
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12.62Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.0Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kennedy | 14.8% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Gates | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 27.7% | 22.4% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 6.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 18.7% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Lewis | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 18.9% |
| Josh Atchley | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 20.7% |
| Julie Self | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| William Herlihy | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Fox | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 14.7% |
| Justin Morano | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 10.4% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.