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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+3.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.90+0.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79-0.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.41-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.19-1.07vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.11+2.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.25-2.02vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.51-1.19vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University0.55-2.21vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College0.70-3.61vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.77-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.29-1.37vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-1.32-2.34vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-2.15-1.99vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-3.79-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.42Brown University2.900.2%1st Place
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3.63Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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10.36Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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8.79Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College0.700.0%1st Place
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11.63Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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12.63University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.66Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Connecticut-2.150.0%1st Place
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15.62Fairfield University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kennedy | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Eve | 23.5% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 18.6% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Craig | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julie Self | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Olsen | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Sullivan | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 8.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 23.2% | 16.8% | 2.5% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 19.9% | 24.8% | 17.1% | 3.2% |
| Marissa Eklund | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 20.6% | 43.5% | 12.9% |
| Michael Loturco | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 11.5% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.