Race 9B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
James Kennedy 16.2% 13.5% 16.3% 13.4% 12.7% 9.9% 7.7% 5.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 21.4% 17.1% 16.8% 12.8% 11.3% 10.4% 5.0% 4.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Girard 7.5% 7.8% 9.2% 8.6% 11.9% 13.4% 15.7% 11.2% 7.1% 4.4% 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Huebner 12.3% 12.9% 12.0% 15.5% 14.4% 12.0% 8.7% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 9.0% 12.1% 12.2% 13.2% 13.1% 14.5% 9.9% 7.4% 5.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Eve 20.9% 20.5% 16.4% 13.3% 12.1% 7.5% 4.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Shapiro 4.6% 4.6% 5.1% 7.2% 7.0% 9.3% 12.7% 11.9% 15.0% 11.7% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Olsen 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.6% 3.9% 6.1% 7.8% 11.7% 12.9% 13.8% 15.2% 11.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 1.9% 3.1% 2.6% 3.1% 4.5% 5.1% 8.0% 12.1% 13.9% 16.4% 12.1% 10.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
John Sullivan 2.5% 2.8% 3.8% 4.3% 3.8% 4.7% 9.0% 10.4% 17.5% 15.7% 12.4% 8.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Mara Terchunian 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 1.9% 2.1% 4.1% 4.5% 8.5% 11.1% 16.7% 21.5% 16.7% 7.8% 0.7%
Julie Self 0.6% 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 2.3% 3.2% 4.9% 5.2% 9.7% 11.7% 18.7% 17.4% 12.4% 6.8% 2.3% 0.1%
Matthew Dawley 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 4.7% 8.8% 13.1% 21.0% 24.5% 16.4% 2.4%
Amelia Vinciguerra 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.4% 2.4% 5.5% 7.6% 14.2% 18.4% 24.5% 17.2% 3.1%
Marissa Eklund 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 2.0% 2.6% 4.4% 10.4% 19.1% 44.1% 13.1%
Michael Loturco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 3.7% 11.3% 80.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.