Race 10B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
James Kennedy 15.3% 14.4% 14.9% 13.6% 14.1% 10.4% 7.4% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Claire Huebner 13.5% 13.6% 13.7% 15.0% 12.6% 11.0% 9.4% 6.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Girard 7.6% 6.7% 9.1% 10.6% 11.8% 14.0% 14.1% 10.9% 8.6% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Eve 21.2% 20.0% 15.8% 14.5% 11.4% 7.9% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 1.5% 2.5% 2.5% 3.7% 3.5% 5.6% 8.4% 10.7% 14.2% 15.9% 15.2% 10.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 9.6% 9.5% 14.8% 10.4% 13.7% 14.7% 9.8% 8.3% 5.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Shapiro 4.0% 5.8% 4.7% 5.7% 8.0% 9.5% 11.6% 14.0% 14.7% 11.4% 5.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 21.0% 18.7% 15.5% 15.7% 11.0% 7.8% 5.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Sullivan 2.0% 3.6% 2.8% 3.7% 4.3% 7.2% 10.5% 12.0% 14.6% 13.3% 13.6% 6.8% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Olsen 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 4.1% 3.8% 7.0% 12.0% 13.3% 17.1% 15.1% 10.2% 5.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Julie Self 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 3.6% 4.4% 6.0% 9.8% 12.8% 16.6% 16.2% 13.7% 6.8% 1.9% 0.0%
Mara Terchunian 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 4.0% 4.9% 7.5% 12.9% 16.8% 21.1% 15.7% 8.9% 0.5%
Amelia Vinciguerra 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 2.6% 2.7% 3.7% 7.2% 14.9% 20.4% 24.8% 17.1% 2.6%
Matthew Dawley 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 6.2% 6.5% 15.4% 19.0% 23.2% 16.8% 2.9%
Marissa Eklund 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 2.7% 4.8% 10.0% 20.6% 43.3% 13.0%
Michael Loturco 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 3.3% 11.1% 81.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.