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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.90+2.29vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+2.69vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79-0.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.41-0.62vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.25+1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.19-3.09vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University0.55-0.26vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.70-1.65vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.11-0.65vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.51-3.22vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.29-0.37vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-1.32-1.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.77-3.36vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut-2.15-2.00vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-3.79-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Brown University2.900.2%1st Place
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4.17Roger Williams University2.490.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.61Brown University2.790.2%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.15Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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8.74Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College0.700.0%1st Place
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10.35Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University0.510.0%1st Place
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12.63University of New Hampshire-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.69Amherst College-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Connecticut-2.150.0%1st Place
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15.63Fairfield University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Eve | 22.6% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Kennedy | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 18.4% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Huebner | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Shapiro | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Craig | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Sullivan | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julie Self | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Olsen | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dawley | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 24.9% | 18.6% | 2.5% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 25.1% | 16.9% | 2.7% |
| Mara Terchunian | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Eklund | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 44.3% | 12.8% |
| Michael Loturco | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 81.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.