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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida-0.31+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+0.88vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.58-0.27vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.130.00vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46-0.06vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.33-1.88vs Predicted
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7-2.06-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-1.99-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of South Florida-0.3110.2%1st Place
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2.88University of South Florida0.4525.8%1st Place
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2.73Rollins College0.5826.8%1st Place
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4.0Rollins College-0.1312.2%1st Place
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4.94University of Central Florida-0.467.3%1st Place
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4.12Jacksonville University-0.3312.0%1st Place
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6.12-2.063.9%1st Place
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6.74University of Central Florida-1.991.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Garrett Floerchinger | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
Sara Menesale | 25.8% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Shay Bridge | 26.8% | 24.7% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Julia Scott | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
Julian Larsen | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 9.2% |
Kayla Putzke | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
Liam Dunn | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 27.2% | 29.5% |
Adrien Barnes | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.