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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+7.33vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.32vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.50vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.09vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.29+3.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.19vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.23+0.91vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20+0.46vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.44-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia2.39+1.48vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.84-1.33vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.49-4.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.50vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-7.02vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-5.10vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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8.08Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.67Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.15George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.9Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Scott Houck | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Michael Popp | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% |
| Axel Sly | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 28.8% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.