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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.36+7.33vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.94vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.80+7.77vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+4.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+4.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.39+4.10vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.20+0.44vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.44-1.93vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84-0.10vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.38vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-4.84vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.51vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.79vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.29-7.05vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.23-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.77Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.14University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.44Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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8.07Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.9Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.95Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.18Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 24.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Axel Sly | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Scott Houck | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Michael Popp | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.