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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+6.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+6.53vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.20+6.17vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.05+5.92vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.29+3.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia2.39+5.42vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+0.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.77vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.77vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.84-1.34vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.67vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.23-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-7.02vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-5.07vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.44-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.17Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island3.050.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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10.66Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.26Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.98University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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10.93Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 23.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Scott Houck | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% |
| Michael Popp | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.4% |
| Axel Sly | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.