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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.29+6.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.13vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+5.06vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.39+7.13vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.53vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+1.45vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.83vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.15-0.87vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.44-2.67vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-3.47vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-3.76vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-5.91vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-4.24vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.84-5.29vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.06Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.13University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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8.33Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.76Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.71Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 23.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Axel Sly | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.