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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.94vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.43vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+4.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.15+3.93vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.44+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+1.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.46vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.11vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.02vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-4.35vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia2.39-2.45vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-4.80vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.80-5.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.43George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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7.8Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.48Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.57Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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10.2Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.28Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Axel Sly | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Michael Popp | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Scott Houck | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 26.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.