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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+7.74vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+5.74vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.17vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+4.59vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.23+3.66vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+2.83vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.25vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.80+2.18vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49-1.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-3.36vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-4.34vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia2.39-1.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.32vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-6.79vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.84-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.74Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.66Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.83Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.18Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.64University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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10.26Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Axel Sly | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Scott Houck | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 25.8% |
| Michael Popp | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.