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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.85vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+5.98vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+5.62vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.09vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.44+2.86vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.90vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20+0.61vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+1.22vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49-2.24vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.79vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-4.30vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.95vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-3.95vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.29-6.49vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.71University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.7George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.05Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Axel Sly | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Michael Popp | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% |
| Scott Houck | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.