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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+6.01vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.80+8.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.29+4.57vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.25vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.20+2.82vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin3.36+1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.39+3.61vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.49-1.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-2.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.94vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-4.31vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.44-5.24vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.22vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.23-6.27vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.84-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.16Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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8.82Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.68University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.69George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.23Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 13.8% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| AJ Reiter | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 26.6% |
| Scott Houck | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| Axel Sly | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.