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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+7.26vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.36+6.00vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.13vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.44+3.99vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.97vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.49+1.73vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.92vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.08vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+1.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.87vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84-0.84vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-4.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.23-4.40vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.49-6.50vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.39-3.14vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.20-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Georgetown University3.290.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.73George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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10.21Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.16Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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7.69University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.8Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| Axel Sly | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Michael Popp | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Scott Houck | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 27.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.