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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.58+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida-0.31+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+0.92vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-0.33-0.91vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.13-2.02vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-1.99-0.31vs Predicted
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8-2.06-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Rollins College0.5830.1%1st Place
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4.63University of South Florida-0.318.6%1st Place
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2.91University of South Florida0.4522.8%1st Place
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4.92University of Central Florida-0.468.0%1st Place
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4.09Jacksonville University-0.3311.6%1st Place
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3.98Rollins College-0.1313.4%1st Place
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6.69University of Central Florida-1.992.8%1st Place
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6.15-2.062.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Bridge | 30.1% | 24.4% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 5.9% |
| Sara Menesale | 22.8% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 8.8% |
| Kayla Putzke | 11.6% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Julia Scott | 13.4% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Adrien Barnes | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 20.2% | 50.3% |
| Liam Dunn | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 26.8% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.