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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+7.28vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.20+6.60vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+5.60vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+3.13vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+1.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.75vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49-1.44vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.49-2.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-2.79vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.16vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-2.87vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.44-6.31vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-4.57vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.56University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.72George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.13Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% |
| Scott Houck | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Christopher Stocke | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Michael Popp | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.5% |
| Axel Sly | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 12.5% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.