← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.80+9.09vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.44+5.74vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.10vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.17vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.49+2.70vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.20+2.83vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.01vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University3.49-0.51vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.84vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia2.39+1.88vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.29-2.55vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.49-4.30vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.21vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin3.36-6.06vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College3.23-6.31vs Predicted
-
16Washington College2.84-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.09Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
7.74Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.7Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.83Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.01University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.49George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
-
11.88University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
8.45Georgetown University3.290.1%1st Place
-
7.7University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.79U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.94University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
-
8.69Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.27Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% |
| Axel Sly | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Scott Houck | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 27.2% |
| AJ Reiter | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.