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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+7.70vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+4.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+3.85vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.24+3.52vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.87+4.10vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+0.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.00vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.10+0.14vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04-1.46vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.41vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-4.44vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-1.08vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.99-1.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.17-7.10vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.69-6.07vs Predicted
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18Columbia University-0.51-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.42Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.96Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.14George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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7.14Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.92Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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13.26University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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10.93Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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17.4Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 1.1% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 23.3% | 4.4% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 26.4% | 4.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 1.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.