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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.55vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+4.79vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+6.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.24+3.53vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.83+0.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.17+1.85vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.88vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-2.19vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.69+1.00vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-2.14vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-1.58vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-5.12vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-4.87vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.51+2.51vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.99-2.61vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.10-7.69vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.01-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.79Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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6.81Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.0Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.42University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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17.51Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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9.31George Washington University3.100.0%1st Place
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13.06Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 0.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Haley Collins | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 87.5% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 26.7% | 4.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.