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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida-0.31+3.56vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.58+0.69vs Predicted
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3-2.06+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.45-1.20vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.13-0.97vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.33-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.46-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-1.99-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56University of South Florida-0.318.9%1st Place
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2.69Rollins College0.5828.4%1st Place
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6.1-2.063.0%1st Place
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2.8University of South Florida0.4527.2%1st Place
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4.03Rollins College-0.1311.7%1st Place
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4.14Jacksonville University-0.3312.0%1st Place
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4.97University of Central Florida-0.466.7%1st Place
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6.7University of Central Florida-1.992.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Floerchinger | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 6.2% |
| Shay Bridge | 28.4% | 23.8% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam Dunn | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 27.1% | 28.8% |
| Sara Menesale | 27.2% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Julia Scott | 11.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 2.5% |
| Kayla Putzke | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 17.5% | 8.8% |
| Adrien Barnes | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 20.1% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.