Race 6A

boston-harbor-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Conor Lodge 6.4% 9.6% 6.4% 9.7% 9.0% 8.9% 7.9% 7.8% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 4.8% 3.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Ryan Mullins 15.5% 14.6% 13.2% 10.8% 9.5% 8.9% 6.6% 6.0% 6.2% 3.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Albert Nichols 9.0% 6.7% 8.8% 9.1% 8.8% 6.6% 10.3% 8.8% 8.8% 6.3% 6.4% 4.9% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Genoa Warner 8.4% 10.7% 9.0% 9.4% 8.4% 10.1% 7.8% 8.5% 7.3% 5.9% 5.7% 4.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Jessica Claflin 8.3% 8.6% 8.6% 9.9% 9.9% 8.8% 8.4% 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 6.0% 4.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Christopher Hulse 1.9% 2.2% 2.0% 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 4.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.9% 7.2% 9.1% 12.5% 12.3% 15.8% 5.4%
Jordan Factor 15.4% 11.2% 14.0% 10.6% 9.6% 9.7% 8.2% 6.5% 4.6% 4.8% 2.7% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 10.2% 12.1% 9.2% 9.8% 9.9% 8.7% 9.8% 8.0% 6.3% 5.8% 3.7% 3.3% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Emerson Krock 0.8% 2.1% 2.6% 1.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 2.9% 3.5% 5.3% 8.0% 9.6% 15.6% 26.1% 13.5%
Christopher Edwards 1.8% 3.5% 3.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 3.6% 3.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.7% 11.0% 13.5% 14.8% 12.2% 5.0%
Lyle Fielding 7.1% 5.1% 7.3% 7.2% 6.5% 6.5% 7.6% 8.7% 8.9% 9.1% 7.9% 6.5% 5.3% 4.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Alejandro Bancalari 3.6% 4.2% 2.9% 4.8% 5.4% 6.3% 6.1% 7.4% 5.1% 7.3% 9.7% 8.7% 10.1% 10.3% 6.4% 1.7%
Nick Waldo 2.0% 1.9% 2.9% 3.8% 3.2% 3.2% 4.4% 5.2% 5.3% 7.3% 7.8% 10.6% 12.1% 12.5% 13.7% 4.1%
Stephen Sweriduk 5.1% 3.2% 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 7.0% 5.5% 6.7% 8.0% 8.4% 9.3% 10.3% 8.1% 7.0% 4.4% 1.0%
Richard Graef 4.3% 3.9% 4.7% 3.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 5.2% 9.4% 8.2% 9.8% 8.3% 10.7% 8.1% 4.1% 1.0%
Ryan Lovering 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 2.6% 3.1% 7.8% 12.0% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.