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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+5.83vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.59vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+4.71vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.24+2.80vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.99+6.51vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+0.33vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-1.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.42vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.28vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.70vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.69-2.83vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.96-4.89vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.74-8.86vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.51+0.53vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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7.8University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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7.33George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.29Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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6.14Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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16.53Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.38Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Patterson | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 23.3% | 3.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Michael Madigan | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Will La Dow | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 7.4% | 85.2% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 33.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.