← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.51+5.78vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.69+7.87vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.83+2.79vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.90vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.74+1.02vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.67+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.96+1.99vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.02vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.41-1.52vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.20vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-4.22vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin3.04-3.28vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia1.99-0.55vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida3.24-5.91vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.66vs Predicted
-
16Washington College1.63-2.56vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University-0.51-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.78Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
9.87Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
-
5.79Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
-
7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.02Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.53Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.99Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
8.02U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
-
7.48George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
-
6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.72University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
-
12.45University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
-
8.09University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.34University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
13.44Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
16.6Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Michael Madigan | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 0.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 22.3% | 5.4% |
| Fernando Monllor | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 16.0% | 34.3% | 7.5% |
| Haley Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 8.1% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.