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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+5.83vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.83vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.69+6.03vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+1.04vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.30vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.24-0.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.00vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-2.82vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin3.04-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-2.68vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-3.84vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.99-1.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.17-6.79vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.63vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.51-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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10.03Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.04Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.53Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.77University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.18George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Virginia1.990.0%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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13.37Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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16.58Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Will La Dow | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 1.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Patterson | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 25.4% | 3.0% |
| Michael Madigan | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 32.5% | 8.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 7.4% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.