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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.51+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+1.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.32vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+0.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42-2.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29-1.70vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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4.32Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.75Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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2.53Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.3Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.08Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% |
| Amina Brown | 19.7% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 14.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 22.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 32.2% | 25.4% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.