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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+1.50vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.05+2.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.30+1.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51-0.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96-2.77vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.73-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.65Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.95Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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4.35Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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5.04Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 34.6% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 7.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 20.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 14.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 10.6% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| Amina Brown | 19.1% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.