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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.58+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida-0.31+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.46+1.92vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-0.33+0.07vs Predicted
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5-2.06+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45-3.20vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.13-3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-1.99-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Rollins College0.5828.3%1st Place
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4.63University of South Florida-0.318.6%1st Place
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4.92University of Central Florida-0.468.0%1st Place
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4.07Jacksonville University-0.3312.7%1st Place
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6.23-2.062.9%1st Place
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2.8University of South Florida0.4524.6%1st Place
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3.96Rollins College-0.1312.8%1st Place
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6.7University of Central Florida-1.992.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Bridge | 28.3% | 23.2% | 20.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 14.1% | 5.7% |
| Julian Larsen | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 8.6% |
| Kayla Putzke | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Liam Dunn | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 27.9% | 30.6% |
| Sara Menesale | 24.6% | 24.0% | 21.6% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Julia Scott | 12.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| Adrien Barnes | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 20.6% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.