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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.05+3.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.30+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+0.19vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42-1.48vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29-0.62vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73-0.78vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.28Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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2.52Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.38Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.22Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.81Bowdoin College2.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 20.3% | 20.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 13.3% |
| Amina Brown | 20.6% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 33.1% | 24.1% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 18.6% | 36.5% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.