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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.30+3.20vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.29+2.30vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+0.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42-1.46vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05-0.22vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.73-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.3Connecticut College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.93Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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2.54Boston University3.420.3%1st Place
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4.78Northeastern University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.19Connecticut College1.730.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Levinson | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 14.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 14.0% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 9.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 31.9% | 25.9% | 18.2% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 22.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 35.4% |
| Amina Brown | 22.8% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.